Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.002379 0.002527 0.002685 0.002867 0.003071 0.003296 0.003563
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.002171 0.002377 0.002608 0.002892 0.003234 0.003641 0.004173
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.002036 0.002281 0.002568 0.002938 0.003413 0.004021 0.004892
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.001901 0.002165 0.002485 0.002914 0.003491 0.004276 0.005497
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001825 0.002110 0.002466 0.002961 0.003660 0.004674 0.006406
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001740 0.002035 0.002412 0.002950 0.003742 0.004955 0.007210
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001653 0.001951 0.002337 0.002900 0.003756 0.005126 0.007872
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001618 0.001930 0.002343 0.002965 0.003948 0.005624 0.009374
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001580 0.001903 0.002338 0.003009 0.004112 0.006108 0.011120
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001519 0.001839 0.002276 0.002961 0.004114 0.006286 0.012207
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001450 0.001762 0.002191 0.002870 0.004031 0.006275 0.012754
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001411 0.001724 0.002159 0.002860 0.004088 0.006568 0.014498
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001326 0.001621 0.002032 0.002694 0.003856 0.006212 0.013807
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001300 0.001600 0.002023 0.002718 0.003979 0.006684 0.016784
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001280 0.001586 0.002025 0.002761 0.004143 0.007307 0.021621
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001246 0.001550 0.001990 0.002739 0.004177 0.007617 0.025646
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001229 0.001539 0.001993 0.002781 0.004348 0.008363 0.036049
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001201 0.001511 0.001968 0.002772 0.004408 0.008816 0.047467
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001168 0.001472 0.001925 0.002727 0.004384 0.008998 0.057773
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001158 0.001469 0.001938 0.002785 0.004599 0.010095 0.122660
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001146 0.001461 0.001941 0.002825 0.004781 0.011199 0.512954
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001117 0.001427 0.001902 0.002782 0.004755 0.011449 3.426652
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001082 0.001383 0.001845 0.002700 0.004623 0.011188 10.612925